Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.000706 0.000805 0.000910 0.001029 0.001160 0.001300 0.001460
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000561 0.000700 0.000858 0.001049 0.001272 0.001523 0.001826
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000466 0.000619 0.000801 0.001030 0.001308 0.001633 0.002036
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000391 0.000550 0.000748 0.001007 0.001332 0.001722 0.002222
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000343 0.000509 0.000722 0.001009 0.001381 0.001838 0.002437
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000308 0.000478 0.000705 0.001020 0.001437 0.001962 0.002662
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000266 0.000434 0.000664 0.000994 0.001443 0.002020 0.002804
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000229 0.000392 0.000624 0.000966 0.001441 0.002065 0.002926
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000205 0.000367 0.000605 0.000963 0.001472 0.002152 0.003105
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000185 0.000345 0.000588 0.000962 0.001504 0.002239 0.003285
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000165 0.000321 0.000565 0.000950 0.001519 0.002303 0.003434
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000145 0.000296 0.000539 0.000931 0.001522 0.002350 0.003560
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000136 0.000288 0.000539 0.000953 0.001587 0.002486 0.003813
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000127 0.000279 0.000537 0.000970 0.001645 0.002613 0.004057
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000112 0.000258 0.000513 0.000953 0.001649 0.002662 0.004193
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000098 0.000238 0.000489 0.000931 0.001645 0.002699 0.004310
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000089 0.000227 0.000479 0.000933 0.001678 0.002790 0.004507
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000083 0.000218 0.000474 0.000943 0.001722 0.002899 0.004732
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000072 0.000201 0.000451 0.000920 0.001712 0.002925 0.004834
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000183 0.000427 0.000893 0.001694 0.002939 0.004918
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000174 0.000416 0.000890 0.001717 0.003013 0.005094
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000166 0.000407 0.000889 0.001741 0.003090 0.005275
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000155 0.000393 0.000878 0.001747 0.003140 0.005414